There are only three games in the NHL on Wednesday. Toronto is the largest favorite on the docket hosting the Jets. The Capitals and Stars are both slight road favorites playing in Philadelphia and Los Angeles, respectively. The late-night tilt between the Stars and Kings is likely to be the lowest-scoring of the three games, so it’s not out of the question to focus primarily on skaters from the two early matchups.
TOP OPTION TO CONSIDER
Top Line Stacks
Jets at Maple Leafs
Kyle Connor ($6,400) – Mark Scheifele ($6,500) – Patrik Laine ($6,600)
The last time these two teams met, Winnipeg’s top line had 30 shot attempts, five high-danger scoring chances and scored twice. The trio has clicked for 5.13 goals per hour for the campaign, and Scheifele, Laine and Connor have combined for 30 tallies and 29 helpers through 16 games since Dec. 1.
Maple Leafs vs. Jets
Alex Kerfoot ($4,100) – John Tavares ($7,200) – William Nylander ($6,200)
On the flip side of this matchup, Toronto’s second line has been solid since uniting five games ago with 4.17 goals and 15.63 high-danger scoring chances per hour. They’re a little cheaper than the other top trios, and Tavares and Nylander also both skate with the No. 1 power-play unit. Special teams will be important in this game, too. Winnipeg owns a league-low 72.2 penalty-kill percentage, after all.
Capitals at Flyers
Jakub Vrana ($4,800) – Evgeny Kuznetsov ($5,400) – T.J. Oshie ($5,000)
Last time the Capitals were in Philadelphia, they won 2-1 in a shootout, and Washington is also on the second leg of a back-to-back set. However, these prices are low, and Washington’s second line has been clicking with nine goals and six assists through the past four games. Kuznetsov and Oshie also skate with the No. 1 power-play unit, and the Flyers are also playing their second game on consecutive nights.
Superstar to Build Around
Auston Matthews, TOR vs. WPG ($7,900) – Look for No. 34 to dazzle at Scotiabank Arena again Wednesday. Matthews has recorded an elite 22 goals and 12 assists through 21 home games this season to sport a third-ranked 4.75 points per hour for the campaign. He’s also recorded double-digit DraftKings points in 10 of the last 11 games and draws the noted soft penalty-kill matchup.
Value on Offense
Sean Couturier, PHI vs. WAS ($4,800) – With Washington playing its second game in consecutive nights, this could be a soft schedule spot for Couturier and the Flyers. The No. 1 center has also been at his best over the few weeks with 12 points — four goals — through 11 games dating back to mid-December. Additionally, before Tuesday’s strong defensive showing against the lowly Senators, the Capitals had allowed 17 goals through their previous four games.
Nikolaj Ehlers, WPG at TOR ($5,300) – The 23-year-old winger is quietly having an excellent season with 2.82 points per 60 minutes and 10 — four goals — through his past 11 outings. He’s also recorded seven multi-point showings and reached the five-shot bonus six times, to showcase his upside.
Tom Wilson, WAS at PHI ($4,300) – This is a short price for the imposing winger. Wilson’s recorded a respectable nine points through his past 11 contests and clicked with linemates Nicklas Backstrom ($6,000) and Alex Ovechkin ($7,600) for 4.43 goals and 14.85 high-danger scoring chances per 60 minutes while also driving possession with a 59.5 Corsi For percentage this season.
Jeff Carter, LA vs. DAL ($3,800) – This is a buy-low spot for the veteran. While he’s missed the scoresheet in six of the past seven games, Carter recorded a five-game point streak just prior and continues to skate in an offensive role. He’ll likely be scarcely owned Wednesday, too.
Ben Bishop, DAL at LA ($8,100) – The Stars have won four in a row with just seven goals allowed during the winning streak, and the Kings have scored the fourth-fewest goals in the league this season. Additionally, Bishop owns an elite .931 save percentage dating back to last season. It all adds up to his salary probably not being prohibitive enough.
Jonathan Quick, LA vs. DAL ($7,200) – The Stars rank seventh-worst in the league in expected goals per hour on the road, and Quick has been much better on home ice with an 8-6-1 record, 2.54 GAA and .910 save percentage. Obviously, those numbers don’t jump off the page, but the veteran’s salary also opens oodles of room to spend up on skaters.
Value on Defense
Neal Pionk, WPG at TOR ($4,600) – It’s been roughly 20 games since Pionk took over as the quarterback of the No. 1 power-play unit and the blueliner has capitalized on his opportunity with 16 points and 46 shots. His 2.15 points per 60 minutes during the stretch rank eighth among all regular blueliners, and he also recorded 10.6 DraftKings fantasy points in last week’s matchup against the Maple Leafs.
Dmitry Orlov, WAS at PHI ($3,400) – Arguably cruising along the best offensive stretch of his career, Orlov has recorded 13 points, 34 shots and 17 blocks while logging 22:12 of ice time per game over his past 18 outings. The veteran is a cheap addition to a potential Washington stack, too.
John Carlson, WAS at PHI ($6,400) – Sporting a three-game point streak and with six helpers through his past five outings, Carlson’s salary shouldn’t have dropped for Wednesday’s road tilt against Philadelphia. He also probably has positive regression ahead of his 4.5 shooting percentage through the past 14 games, which includes an eight-game goal drought.
Tyson Barrie, TOR vs. WPG ($5,600) – It’s been a strong run for Barrie with eight points and 25 shots through the past seven games. He’s locked in as the quarterback of the No. 1 power-play unit, so the matchup is juicy Wednesday with Winnipeg’s noted penalty-kill struggles. His 2.21 points per hour since Sheldon Keefe took over as head coach also rank 6th among regular defensemen.
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